The Scorecard

Alright, let’s scorecard my keynote predictions (I have a bad feeling about this):

New iPhone Hardware: Practically a given. Double capacities, RAM, speed, etc. Availability is the big question, but I doubt it’s immediate. That sort of thing requires a lot of very quiet inventory movement, a hard feat to pull off.

Well, I was correct on this one. Although they made the price drops immediately available, the iPhone 3GS will be available June 19.

iPhone 3.0: Again, practically a given. Availability, probably this evening. No hardware to move…let’s hope the servers can hold up.

I’m going to go with a solid no-score on this one, considering there were announcements on 3.0, but no immediate availability (unless you hang around in the darker corners of the Internet).

iPhone Nano: Possibility, but I have a hard time totally buying it yet. What does a stripped down iPhone look like? What are the differentiations in the product line? Does Apple really want to split such a wildly successful product (yet)? And where are the hardware the rumors?

Although Apple announced the $99 8gb version of the phone, it wasn’t an iPhone Nano. While I didn’t call the price drop, I did get the perspective on the product line correct, so I’m going to go ahead and give myself this one.

Tablet Mac: I want it, oh how I want it, but I doubt it’ll hit. Today, at least. There’s been a lot of talk about this thing for awhile now, including some pretty solid information on 10″ screen contracts, so I think it’s going to happen, but I don’t think it’s today. Within the next year, though, yes.

Probably the thing I would’ve been most enthralled about, had it happened. Mark my words, though, it’ll be here in a year or less.

Other things: Probably a bump to the unibody Macbooks, maybe some changes to desktops. Run of the mill stuff, otherwise.

I called this one “run of the mill stuff, otherwise,” but given the changes to the laptop lines, I’m not sure that was a solid prediction. I’ll go ahead and deduct one for missing that rather significant directional change. That and the $29 Snow Leopard announcement!

The final score here comes out to be +2, which is really a lot better than I expected. Perhaps for the next time around I’ll actually try making some riskier predictions…